Soochow securities said that "moderate easing" may mean that the interest rate cut is more than expected, and the liquidity is relaxed. Soochow securities believes that under the current loose monetary policy, next year will usher in the stage of "two bulls with stocks and debts", and it is expected that the yield of 10-year treasury bonds will drop to 1.5%.Zheshang Securities said in the research report that the policy signal released by this meeting is extraordinary, or it has already indicated that the east wind has blown, and there is a logic of further strengthening in both the equity market and the bond market, and it continues to be optimistic about the interpretation of the stock market and the bond market.At the same time that A-shares opened higher and went lower, today's bond market is like a rainbow, and the seesaw effect of stock market and bond market reappears. The intraday 30-year treasury bond futures main contract rose by 1.60%, the 10-year main contract rose by 0.73%, and the 5-year main contract rose by 0.44%, hitting a record high. At the same time, the yield of government bonds kept falling, and the yield of 10-year active bonds in China inter-bank bond market fell below 1.85%, continuing to set a new record low.
Soochow securities said that "moderate easing" may mean that the interest rate cut is more than expected, and the liquidity is relaxed. Soochow securities believes that under the current loose monetary policy, next year will usher in the stage of "two bulls with stocks and debts", and it is expected that the yield of 10-year treasury bonds will drop to 1.5%.Just last Friday, a lot of funds have entered the market, and the three major stock indexes of A shares rose more than 1% that day. Previously, the market essays have flowed out of the time of two major conferences, and the market traded the expectation of "two key conferences are good" many times in November. Previously, CITIC Securities had expressed its outlook for December in the research report, and it is expected that the policy of the Central Economic Work Conference will remain positive, reversing the expectation that institutional funds were too conservative; At the same time, it is expected that the economic data will rise steadily, and the partial improvement of the price signal in the real estate sector will also boost investor confidence; In the end, institutional funds, active funds and retail funds will gradually form a resonance to promote the market's new year's market.Reproduction of seesaw effect of stock debt
As for why A-shares go high and low, it may be related to the positive cashing of some hidden funds of A-shares and the seesaw effect of stock bonds.When the market opened in early trading, the three major indexes of A shares put on a "bullish" posture. In the morning session, under the tone of "stabilizing the property market and improving investment efficiency", the three major indexes of A shares opened sharply higher. The Shanghai Composite Index opened 2.58% higher; Shenzhen Component Index opened 3.66% higher; Growth enterprise market index opened 4.88% higher, but the three major stock indexes then began to fluctuate downward, and there was no obvious rebound all day, and finally made up for the gap left by the early opening.As for why A-shares go high and low, it may be related to the positive cashing of some hidden funds of A-shares and the seesaw effect of stock bonds.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide